AS MUCH AS Leo Cullen sought to talk up the challenge that lies ahead when his Leinster team take on Munster at the Aviva Stadium this evening [KO 7.35pm, TG4, Premier Sports 2], Ronan O’Gara will have been the only Munster man on his mind this week.
Not for the first time in recent years, tonight’s interpro derby in Dublin will be far from a heavyweight clash, Leinster’s guaranteed status as the top team in the United Rugby Championship table – and the small matter of next weekend’s Heineken Champions Cup final meeting with La Rochelle – sapping any real sense of occasion from this fixture.
The province already know they have a home quarter-final to look forward to, with a home semi-final and home Grand Final also on the cards should they progress through the playoffs.
Those games will come into focus after Marseille next weekend, with Cullen outlining Tadhg Furlong (ankle) “should be fine” for La Rochelle after limping off against Toulouse, and adding that James Lowe (shin) and Rónan Kelleher (HIA) were also “coming on well.”
Munster have more immediate concerns on their mind as they head into an intriguing weekend knowing they can finish anywhere between second and sixth. What happens today could have a major say on how the rest of their season plays out.
As of this morning, the picture looks like this: A win for Johann van Graan’s men at the Aviva will guarantee them a home quarter-final, while a bonus point victory may be needed to tee-up a home semi-final, should they make it that far.
Depending on results elsewhere, defeat to Leinster could mean playing away in the quarter-finals, with the prospect of a long trip down to South Africa a situation they will be desperately keen to avoid.
All the pressure is on them, which is why they travel to Dublin as locked and loaded as possible.
There’s still no Tadhg Beirne, no Gavin Coombes or no Dave Kilcoyne, while Peter O’Mahony is nursing the after-effects of his massive performances against Exeter and Toulouse and Damien de Allende also misses out.
Yet this is still a strong Munster selection, with 11 of the 15 that started the Champions Cup quarter-final defeat to Toulouse keeping their place in the side. Andrew Conway makes a welcome return from injury while the highly promising Thomas Ahern is handed just his fourth start of the season.
They’ll all need to perform, as Leinster are no strangers to beating Munster without their key men. As Van Graan put it earlier this week, “Whatever team they select will be a tough game for us.”
Munster only have to look at how an experimental Leinster group performed during their recent URC trip to South Africa for a reminder of just how competitive a much-changed Leinster can be.
Leinster have dipped right down into the depth chart for this one, but still manage to assemble a decent looking selection of their own. As expected, none of the 15 who started against Toulouse weekend are anywhere to be seen, but Ireland internationals Jordan Larmour and Ryan Baird both come back into the team after lengthy absences.
Scott Penny and Max Deegan join Baird in the backrow, Ciarán Frawley and Harry Byrne form an exciting 10-12 axis, scrum-half Cormac Foley wins his first home start while rising talent Joe McCarthy makes his sixth start in the second row.
Regardless of the make-up of Leinster’s squad, a Munster win in Dublin would build on the positive momentum generated against Exeter and Toulouse, and leave them in decent shape heading into the playoff stage.
For Leinster, the motivation has to come from a different place.
Many of those lining out in blue tonight have had to be patient as Leinster battled it out on two fronts, using 59 players along the way – scrum-half Ben Murphy will take that number to 60 if introduced off the bench. Harry Byrne starts at out-half for just the fourth time this season. Larmour hasn’t played since March. They will all be keen to catch the eye.
“It is a challenge for guys because they all want to play, for sure,” Cullen says.
“Some of the younger guys would have an understanding in terms of the bigger picture and all the rest. But I have to say they’ve really done a great job.
“The guys have acquitted themselves well and it creates a positive pressure in terms of that selection piece which is what you want and long may it continue that those young guys keep putting the pressure on.
But a lot of work goes into hat as well, so huge credit to Simon Broughton and all the academy coaches as well because the guys that are coming through are being managed. Even when we played Connacht in those Champions Cup weeks the lads were getting ready for that South African trip and managing that time well, so that’s worked well. But yeah, it’s a positive headache to have, so don’t get me wrong.
The return of Baird is particularly interesting as the explosive 22-year-old makes a first appearances since February, and a first start in the backrow since April of last year. He – like Larmour and Frawley – will feel a big performance today could be enough to climb back up the pecking order.
“He’s a very dynamic player, particularly when he comes off the bench,” Cullen said of Baird.
“The way he plays, he’s very comfortable, particularly in wider channels, but we want him getting on the ball quite a bit during the course of the game as well.
“He’s an exceptional athlete, Ryan, so he gives us that bit of versatility with the way he plays. Hopefully he’ll put in a big performance and put his hand up as well (for future big games).”
For Munster, this is the big game. Given the quality, experience and power in their ranks, it should be a relatively straight-forward evening for them.
If only it were that easy.
LEINSTER: Jordan Larmour, Rob Russell, Jamie Osborne, Ciaran Frawley, Rory O’Loughlin, Harry Byrne, Cormac Foley, Ed Byrne (captain), Sean Cronin, Thomas Clarkson, Joe McCarthy, Josh Murphy, Ryan Baird, Scott Penny, Max Deegan.
Replacements: John McKee, Peter Dooley, Cian Healy, Devin Toner, Alex Soroka, Ben Murphy, David Hawkshaw, Adam Byrne.
MUNSTER: Mike Haley, Andrew Conway, Chris Farrell, Dan Goggin, Keith Earls, Joey Carbery, Conor Murray, Josh Wycherley, Niall Scannell, John Ryan, Jean Kleyn, Thomas Ahern, Fineen Wycherley, Alex Kendellen, Jack O’Donoghue (captain).
Replacements: Diarmuid Barron, Jeremy Loughman, Keynan Knox, Jason Jenkins, Jack Daly, Craig Casey, Ben Healy, Rory Scannell.
Referee: Frank Murphy (IRFU)
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Looking forward to watching the Frank Murphy show.
@Joe Vlogs: I hope he doesn’t spoil this match
@Ro Molloy: he will, he’s consistent
@Chris Tobin: hahahaha….its the only consistency he has
A Leinster second team with nothing to play for is still too strong for Munster.
@Stephen Foster: you were bang on there
That’s a very mobile pack that Munster have with some very good Jackalers. Leinster will have to be pretty clinical and not get too frustrated when they get turned over on occasion.
Hopefully Thomand is free for the home QF. Can’t see anything other than a 15+ point win. A real mix of inexperience and older players getting their send off for Leinster. Need to play as we have been and not go back to Route One down the middle stuff. Would have liked to see Crowley over Healy to give him a bit of a break after the missed kicks. I doubt he’d have slept much since and it’s unfair to lob him in. Hoping Wych takes the Leinster front row to the cleaners aka booking a flight to NZ.
@Stanley: keep in mind this article is written by a Leinster supporter….., playing down the weak Leinster team….take it from me there is no such thing…
Munster are as affected with injuries/ POM / DelAn/ TB / Kil / Zeb /RS/ that’s over 33% of Munsters first choice players. And to add to another share of the players are just coming back from injuries and will be looking to get some game time and up to speed.
I don’t see Munster at +15 … I do wish and a bonus try…. But realistically I think in the bookies Leinster are a fair bet at + 6.
Don’t be fooled by articles in the 42 playing down this so called weakened Leinster team…?
@Denis O Sullivan: ye there’s definitely a bit of under dog stuff flying around but if you compare player for player in 1-15. Munster win at least 13
@Denis O Sullivan: I completely agree with you. Given the Munster injury list and Munsters long running history of losses in the Aviva (albeit always against quality opposition) I can honestly see Leinster actually winning this game. I really hope I’m wrong though and that it’s a BP win! :)
@Stanley: Leinster still have 10 internationals lining out today, we are missing Killer, Archer, RG, POM, Hodnett, Coombes, DDA and Zebo. This will be a lot closer than the 42 makes out to be. Also nearly every article about Leinster stars that they have used 59 players this season so far, I think Munster are the same but it would be nice to see how many players all the provinces have played, even do a separate article for each team with the breakdown of players academy players etc who starred for their provinces
@Denis O Sullivan: “so called weakened Leinster team” they’ve literally rested 20 of their 23 man panel from last week. Criticise the narrative around the game all you want, but the fact it is a weakened Leinster team is indisputable.
@Brian O’Sullivan: I think the point being made really Brian (and this is obviously a compliment for Leinster) is that there’s probably no such thing as weak Leinster team at the moment.
@James: 100% agree. Their backs may be inexperienced but are undoubtedly talented. Same with the locks but the bench is strong.
Healy being picked at tighthead sub is interesting. Giving him game time there in case Furlong doesn’t make it?
@James: thanks James…
@Stanley: If Munster win it will be by less than five. Still think the Leinster seconds may be too strong for Munster though.
@Denis O Sullivan: I bet you regret that comment now…;-)
I’ve got a good feeling this Leinster squad for this evening will do the business . Leinster to win by 5 .