Calculators at the ready...here's the Allianz football league permutations

We take a look at the state of play across all four divisions ahead of next weekend’s final round of fixtures.

WITH JUST ONE round of fixtures to go in the Allianz football league, there is plenty left to play for across the four tiers.

Only Dublin are certain of their place in the Division 1 semi-finals, while Donegal, Cork, Mayo and Monaghan are in a dogfight to avoid relegation.

Promotion and relegation are also up for grabs across the other divisions when the final round of fixtures take place this weekend.

It’s important to remember that head-to-head comes into play if two teams finish on the same points, while scoring difference decides it if three or more teams are level.

Here’s the current state of play:

Division 1

Dublin are assured of a semi-final spot, while Kerry and Roscommon’s superior goal difference means they are likely to join them. Only a heavy defeat for either side on Sunday would see them drop out of the final four.
One of Donegal, Cork, Mayo or Monaghan are likely to make up the semi-finals. Donegal and Cork are in pole position on six points. Peader Healy’s side, who travel to Kerry, need to better Donegal’s result away to Monaghan to advance. If both teams win or draw, Donegal advance on head-to-head.
Bottom of the table Down are already relegated. Mayo and Monaghan (both on 4pts) are favourites to get demoted, but Mayo have an easier game at home to Down.
Monaghan need to better Mayo’s result to guarantee survival and send the Connacht side down. If both teams win, scoring difference will come into play between at least three teams. If both teams draw or lose, Monaghan will go down as they were beaten by Mayo already.

Division 2

Tyrone had promotion secured before their draw with Armagh on Saturday night. It’s a straightforward two-way fight to join them. A win or draw for Cavan against Galway on Sunday will see them take the leap. A Galway victory would earn promotion for the Tribesmen.
The picture is a little less clear on the relegation front. Derry (6pts) are almost certainly safe. Two from Laois (3 pts), Armagh (4pts), Meath (4pts) and Fermanagh (5pts) will make the drop.

Paddy Reihill and James McMahon with Gearoid McKiernan Gearoid McKiernan and Cavan are on the verge of promotion to the top flight. Presseye / John Vitty/INPHO Presseye / John Vitty/INPHO / John Vitty/INPHO

Division 3

Kildare (10pts) sit on top of the tier tier and they’ll be playing Division 2 football in 2017. Clare are two points behind and are favourites to join them.
Four counties (Sligo, Longford, Offaly and Tipperary) are tied on six points and could mathematically win promotion, but only Offaly and Tipperary can realistically go up as they’ve both beaten Clare.
If Clare lose to Kildare, Offaly beat Limerick and Tipperary lose to Sligo, or vice versa, then Clare will miss out on promotion. Clare’s scoring difference (+30) should see them through if more than two counties finish on eight points.
Limerick’s drop to Division 4 was confirmed on Sunday.
A draw away to Longford might be enough for Westmeath’s (5pts) survival, but a win would guarantee it. A draw or defeat would put Longford in danger, while the losers of Sligo-Tipperary also face the drop if Longford lose.

Sean Collins and Clare look set to join Kildare in Division 2 next year. Ryan Byrne / INPHO Ryan Byrne / INPHO / INPHO