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Bolt has been struggling with injuries going into these Games. Matt Slocum/AP/Press Association Images

Ailis McSweeney: Bolt will claim gold, provided he is fully fit

The 100m Final takes place this evening, and our columnist is tipping the 25-year-old to retain his title.

AT TEN TO ten tonight, Usain Bolt will line up to defend his title. Can Yohan Blake, a.k.a. “the Beast,” steal the throne?

It was hard to tell a lot from the heats yesterday. The controversial Dwain Chambers ran a big season’s best and Ryan Bailey ran the fastest time, but both looked like they were at over 95% effort and had the most favourable wind conditions. In the first heat, Tyson Gay was not overly impressive but likely had to be conservative to ensure his body will hold up for three rounds.

Justin Gatlin is a big danger man and has a great drive phase over the first 30m that earned him a World Indoor gold this year. The 2004 Olympic Champion would not be a popular medallist having been banned for a total of six years of his career for two separate doping offences.

As for the Jamaicans, Asafa Powell will attempt to transform his reputation as a championship underperformer. In round one he was pushed by the recently crowned World Junior Champion, Adam Gemili, who I would love to see in the final. Bolt and Blake undoubtedly shut down after the mid-way point in their heats but Blake looked that little bit more comfortable. We will know the final line-up after tonight’s semis and more about what we can expect from Bolt versus Blake.

Bolt’s first 30m is not his strong point. He needs to react well to the gun in order to stay in touch with the others. At his best, there is no one who can touch his acceleration as the athletes get up tall and start to cycle. From about 62 metres, the world’s fastest men start to decelerate. One thing is certain – Bolt won’t be able to slow down for fun like he did four years ago.

In May and June, the world record holder ran 9.76s and 9.79s. In the final of the Jamaican trials, he ran 9.86s for second to Blake’s 9.75s. If Bolt’s niggling injuries have improved without any setbacks since then he should win. However, gifting Blake the gold in last year’s World Championships has given Bolt’s rival, and training partner, a taste for winning. So far I’ve been basing my predictions on what I would like to happen rather than what the statistics say – Bolt for Gold!

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    Mute Ailís McSweeney
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    Aug 5th 2012, 10:30 PM

    Have we ever produced a sprinter…??? Only Derval O’Rourke – World Indoor Gold, European silver x2, European indoor bronze.

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    Mute Westmeath
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    Aug 5th 2012, 7:10 PM

    I hope he gets the Gold Medal. Usain is a legend

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    Mute Thosj Carroll
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    Aug 5th 2012, 6:58 PM

    It must be the most beautiful running sport on the earth….

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    Mute Gis Bayertz
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    Aug 5th 2012, 7:38 PM

    Anybody could have made that prediction

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    Mute Seán Golden
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    Aug 5th 2012, 9:09 PM

    No shit Sherlock…..

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    Mute john g mcgrath
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    Aug 5th 2012, 7:06 PM

    Have we ever produced a sprinter or just middle distance and marathon runners ?

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    Mute Mark Power
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    Aug 5th 2012, 7:11 PM

    Sonya O Sullivan

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    Mute Kenneth Sheehy
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    Aug 5th 2012, 7:24 PM

    No. Just middle and long distance runners. Our ‘sprinters’ would be destroyed by an injured Bold, heavily drunk, Bolt :)

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    Mute Irish Laydee
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    Aug 5th 2012, 8:07 PM

    A fantastic runner indeed :)

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    Mute Aidan Geraghty
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    Aug 5th 2012, 10:02 PM

    Bolt will win

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    Mute Thosj Carroll
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    Aug 5th 2012, 9:00 PM

    What a man….him Bolt again!

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    Mute Pádraic O'Callanáin
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    Aug 6th 2012, 9:37 AM

    Paul Hession

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    Mute Conor Power
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    Aug 6th 2012, 1:17 AM

    Its genetics too. Northern Europeans arnt pre disposed to being sprinters. RTE has am interesting point that team gb recognised n. europeans would be a good physiologically for track cycling and look at the gold its brought. Someone of Irish stock will never win 100 m

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    Mute Ken Harris
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    Aug 5th 2012, 8:01 PM

    Gatlin will win. He is now clean and has the best sports Chiropractor Dr Dave Pascal.

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    Mute Micheal D. Lynch
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    Aug 6th 2012, 8:51 AM

    Eh, No he won’t.

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