WE MAY ONLY be a little over halfway through the qualifying campaign for next summer’s European Championships but Ireland’s path to the 2018 World Cup will become a whole lot clearer come this evening.
Billed as the day 141 countries from all over the world discover their destiny by Fifa, the draw for the qualifying stage of the 2018 World Cup will take place in St Petersburg this weekend.
Martin O’Neill’s side face an uphill task to book their ticket for Euro 2016 in France and an underwhelming qualification campaign for that tournament has had a knock-on effect on Ireland’s chances of securing a favourable draw.
For the first time since 1990, the Boys in Green will be fourth seeds for a World Cup qualifying draw and subsequently face the prospect of being paired with three of Europe’s heavyweights.
The build-up to the draw has been somewhat overshadowed by the enduring turmoil engulfing Fifa and it’s expected the beginning of Russia’s staging of football’s flagship event will be to a backdrop of further protests.
Nonetheless, there’s important business to be done and here’s everything you need to know about the draw.
When and where is it?
The 2018 World Cup qualifying draw takes place in Konstantin Palace, St Petersburg at 4pm Irish time.
It will be presented by Natalia Vodianova – a Russian supermodel – and television presenter Dmitry Shepelev.
There will be some familiar faces on hand throughout with Ronaldo, Fabio Cannavaro, Diego Forlan, Samuel Eto’o, Madjer, Oliver Bierhoff and Hulk among the ‘draw assistants’.
How does it work?
The draw will determine who plays who in the various qualifying competitions for the next World Cup. 141 teams from the five confederations (Africa, Asia, Europe, North, Central America and Caribbean, Oceania and South America) will all be anxiously waiting to discover their fate as the road to Russia begins in earnest.
Here’s the breakdown of qualification berths on offer in each region.
- Africa: 5
- Asia: 4.5
- Europe: 13
- North, Central America and Caribbean: 3.5
- Oceania: 0.5
- South America: 4.5
Regions with half a place will see one of their countries enter an intercontinental play-off at the final stage of qualifying to determine the final make-up of the 32 teams who will be in Russia in three years time.
What about Europe?
Right, let’s cut to the chase.
Ireland are one of 52 Uefa associations in the European draw. Russia, as holders, are automatically guaranteed a place at the World Cup while Gibraltar – who are in Ireland’s current Euro 2016 qualifying group – aren’t eligible as they’re not a member of Fifa.
So it all means there will be seven groups of six and two groups of five.
Uefa have requested that England, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands are each drawn in a six-team group because of broadcasting and television deals.
Furthermore, Azerbaijan and Armenia cannot be drawn alongside each other because of the current political climate between the two countries.
Not to be getting ahead of ourselves but the nine group winners will automatically qualify while eight runners-up will earn a place in the play-offs. The one runner-up to miss out will be determined by a sides’ record against the teams that finish first, third, fourth and fifth in their group.
Who can Ireland be drawn with?
As mentioned above, Ireland’s free fall down the Fifa world rankings has had a significant bearing on their seeding for the draw.
Pot one: Germany, Belgium, Holland, Romania, England, Wales, Portugal, Spain, Croatia.
Pot two: Italy, Slovakia, Austria, Switzerland, Czech Republic, France, Iceland, Denmark, Bosnia-Herzegovina.
Pot three: Poland, Ukraine, Scotland, Hungary, Sweden, Albania, Northern Ireland, Serbia, Greece.
Pot four: Turkey, Slovenia, Israel, Republic of Ireland, Norway, Bulgaria, Faroe Islands, Montenegro, Estonia.
Pot five: Cyprus, Latvia, Armenia, Finland, Belarus, Macedonia, Azerbaijan, Lithuania, Moldova.
Pot six: Luxembourg, Kazakhstan, Liechtenstein, Georgia, Malta, San Marino, Andorra.
Where can I watch the draw?
Live coverage of the draw is available on RTÉ 2 from 3.55pm but, as you can imagine, it will be a tedious affair. The European draw is scheduled to take place after Africa so should begin relatively soon after proceedings get underway.
When does qualifying actually start?
The European group stages take place between September 2016 and October 2017 with each team playing each other home and away. The playoffs will then be played in November 2017.
No doubt we will get Germany and Italy
Wales Bosnia and Northern Ireland
Wales, Austria, Greece, Azerbaijan, San Marino would do nicely. Unfortunately each of them would probably have us in their dream group too
Except We wouldn’t qualify out of that group.
Don’t understand all the red thumbs, we wouldn’t!
“Uefa have requested that England, France, Germany, Italy, Spain and the Netherlands are each drawn in a six-team group because of broadcasting and television deals.” Surely this nonsense goes to the heart if the problem of world football? Commercial interests should not influence competitive ones in this way.
Makes no difference who we get. We’re screwed.
Wales are in Pot 1 on the basis of their current FIFA ranking, putting them ahead of 4 times WC winners Italy and one time winner France. Does previous WC or Euro qualification come into play at all as Wales have only ever qualified for the WC once, in 1958, and have never qualified for the Euros. I’m not being envious because of Ireland’s position, we deserve to be where we are, but surely Italy and France would be entitled to have a gripe. The whole thing is fu(ked up, like everything in FIFA.
As long as the rankings are reliable (which is questionable), this system rewards the best teams at the moment. I don’t think France should get favourable treatment for something they achieved 17 years ago.
France also aren’t playing any qualifiers to get more ranking points. All of the games they are playing are friendlies
What’s really screwed up is teams are not boycotting this tournament. Russia’s human rights record is right down there with Qatar’s.
Same thing happened for the last world cup. who ever top the rankings in the month before the draw got the top spot. Belgium got the same teeatment
When it comes to Wales we do have a gripe, because our recent record is miles better than theirs. They’re a first seed, based on what they’ve done in little more than half a qualifying group (as impressive as it is), although before that they were complete muck. Meanwhile, we’re fourth, based on our current poor form, despite a recent record of having qualified for an actual tournament and reached the play-offs of another…that’s certainly more than what Wales have done over recent years.
Romania, Slovakia, Republic of Ireland, Faroe Islands, Azerbaijan, San Marino. Sorted
we can’t get the faroes, we’re in the same pot… that’s how bad we are now
Romania, Iceland, Albania, Ireland, Moldova and San Marino
Natalia Vodianova is the spit of Erika Eleniak (her from Baywatch)
Avoid the Scandinavian teams & throw in a few cheap eastern European countries and I’ll be happy
Wales, Iceland , Albania, Finland, Andorra now we have a chance!!
like my sports, it’s set up for all the big sides to make it through and guarantee the most revenue. An open draw would be so much more exciting
Sorry Philips but that’s ridiculous. An open draw could mean you could have a group with Germany, Spain, Italy, Holland & France with only 2 to qualify. Most people accept that the draw has to be seeded but it is how the seedings are decided upon that is the problem.
So what if the big sides all get drawn together. It would be fairer to give every team an equal chance. As it is, half the countries have zero chance of qualifying.
And rightly so. You play well for a couple of years, you get a higher ranking and therefore a higher seeding. The system gives the best teams, the best chance of qualifying. It kind of defeats the point of the world cup if there are a lot of teams ranked close to 100 at it
we could be in a group on our own and we would still come second.
*like most sports
Oh good lord…..what crow poohed on us? Same group as Turkey and Israel…..that’ll be fun….
Feck just realised they the pots