Skip to content

Who will win the World Cup Golden Boot? The favourites and the dark horses

We take a look at the fancied and the long shots to take home the World Cup’s illustrious top scorer prize.

THE TOP PLAYERS from all over the world meet in Russia this summer to compete for football’s top prize, the World Cup. However, for some there’s a chance to aim for the Golden Boot.

The World Cup Golden Boot is awarded to the tournament’s top goalscorer and many players will be competing to join the illustrious list of former winners and see their names alongside the likes of Müller, Ronaldo and Schillaci.

The race is often unpredictable and offers a different dimension to the tournament and a chance for some stars to shine when their nation perhaps doesn’t.

Here’s a rundown of the favorites and pick of dark horses for the accolade:

The Favourites

Neymar 8/1

England v Brazil - Bobby Moore Fund International - Wembley Stadium Neymar in action against England in November Tim Goode Tim Goode

Brazil’s main man and the world’s most expensive player, Neymar is worth his billing as joint favorite for the prize. He’s been lethal this season in front of goal and the way this Brazil side is bubbling up for a World Cup tilt, he’s likely to play a lot of games this summer.

Lionel Messi 10/1

No surprises as to why he’s a favourite to pick up the prize. This may be the 30-year-old’s last chance to impress in a World Cup. He was the tournament’s best player in 2014 as Argentina reached the final. A Golden Boot and a World Cup medal would be the perfect way to cement his legacy as the best ever.

Antoine Griezmann 10/1

Friendly Match France v Colombia Liewig Christian / ABACA Liewig Christian / ABACA / ABACA

In an exciting and ever-changing French squad, Griezmann remains the talisman heading to Russia. The 27-year-old is one of the world’s best attackers and with France expected to go very far in the tournament, it makes sense that the Atletico man will get a chance to rack up a strong tally.

Gabriel Jesus 14/1

The Brazilian has been in excellent form for Premier League champions Man City and has been clinical in a Brazil shirt too. The 21-year-old is one of the game’s brightest stars and alongside Neymar, Brazil’s attack could well be free-scoring in Russia. Expect Jesus to bag a few goals.

Timo Werner 14/1

Werner is one of the new breed that Germany will rely on as they look to retain the World Cup this year. He’s been a revelation for RB Leipzig and has brought that form to the national side, finishing among the Confederations Cup top scorers last year. The 22-year-old has a promising summer ahead.

Harry Kane 16/1

The Spurs striker has been one of Europe’s most consistent in the last four seasons, scoring over 20 league goals each season including 30 Premier League goals this season. Kane comes into his first World Cup as England’s first-choice striker and if on form, he’ll undoubtedly be in with a shout.

Cristiano Ronaldo 18/1

Similar to Messi, this is Ronaldo’s last chance to shine on the biggest stage. At 33, he’s won it all at club level and also tasted success at Euro 2016. He will look to lead Portugal from the front and will terrorise any defence and is definitely to be considered as a favorite.

The Dark Horses

Thomas Müller 25/1

Czech Republic vs Germany The Bayern Munich man has an excellent record in previous World Cups. DPA / PA Images DPA / PA Images / PA Images

Müller made his breakthrough at the 2010 World Cup where he won the Golden Boot and he also finished second behind James Rodriguez in the 2014 tournament. Now at 28, the Bayern Munich man is one of the most complete forwards in the game. With his international pedigree, it would be foolish not to consider him as a potential winner.

Kylian Mbappe 25/1

The French teenager is one of the most exciting young talents in the game and has broken into the French set up in the last year as a result. Expect Mbappe to be prominent for the French and he should expect to get on the score-sheet.

Robert Lewandowski 25/1

The fact that the Bayern Munich target man is priced so highly is confusing. Lewandowski is one of the best goalscorers today and as Poland’s shining light, expect him to cause serious problems for anyone he faces.

Sergio Aguero 40/1

Aguero is likely to be a key man for Argentina in Russia. As well as Messi, this may be his last chance to perform at a World Cup and the Man City man will look to take advantage of that. He’s a top-class striker and at 40/1, that’s almost insulting.

Radamel Falcao 50/1

The 32-year-old is definitely a long shot for the award but one to keep an eye on. Falcao’s career took a downward spiral from his move to Monaco from Atletico Madrid in 2013 and after unsuccessful loan spells at Man United and Chelsea, the Colombian has finally found his feet back at Monaco this season. He has it in him and leading Colombia’s attack, you just never know.

Mo Salah 75/1

(SP)EGYPT-ALEXANDRIA-FOOTBALL-WORLD CUP 2018-QUALIFICATION-EGYPT VS CONGO The 25-year-old was the hero as Egypt sealed their place in the World Cup thanks to his 95th minute penalty sealed a 2-1 win over Congo last October. Xinhua News Agency / PA Images Xinhua News Agency / PA Images / PA Images

Recovering from his Champions League shoulder injury, Salah heads to this tournament with 44 goals this season and the record for most goals in a Premier League season. The Egyptian is a national hero after steering his country to the tournament and provided he’s fully fit, he’ll expect to be in among the goals.

The42 is on Instagram! Tap the button below on your phone to follow us!

View 15 comments
Close
15 Comments
This is YOUR comments community. Stay civil, stay constructive, stay on topic. Please familiarise yourself with our comments policy here before taking part.
Leave a Comment
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute IR1111
    Favourite IR1111
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:35 PM

    Ireland beat NZ, SA and OZ in the same year! Rory best deserved his ovation

    658
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute dannyboy
    Favourite dannyboy
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:11 PM

    Well said…

    89
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Kris Ertz
    Favourite Kris Ertz
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:35 PM

    Go on the biys!! Southern Hemisphere got nothing on us

    289
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Biscuits Patinkin
    Favourite Biscuits Patinkin
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:37 PM

    Ringrose is becoming exceptionally good exceptionally quick at this level!!

    359
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Conor Ryan
    Favourite Conor Ryan
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:47 PM

    Great opportunist try. BOD-esque in his step and pace.

    183
    See 5 more replies ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Conor Ryan
    Favourite Conor Ryan
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:49 PM

    Murray what do you think of our injury concerns? We seem to get an abnormal amount from game to game; which would make a World Cup run of games very difficult.

    155
    von
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute von
    Favourite von
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:50 PM

    Conor you got there before me thinking the same.

    65
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Pete Slattery
    Favourite Pete Slattery
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:57 PM

    Given another week, we’d likely have had Henshaw, Payne at full strength and O’Brien in the team. Last week was exceptionally brutal. Australia rested a huge amount of their team last week. We did very well considering the circumstances.

    100
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Conor Ryan
    Favourite Conor Ryan
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:04 PM

    In a World Cup though, that’s scant conciliation when you play tough games from week to week.

    60
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Barry Gormley
    Favourite Barry Gormley
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:00 PM

    When him and Henshaw get a bit of a run together for Leinster its gonna be real exciting. Drico and Darce reborn only bigger? Well done to all the young lads, playing out of position etc. Incredible shift.

    60
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Stephen Foster
    Favourite Stephen Foster
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:53 PM

    When Peter O’Mahoney came on I though he was really good. Steadied the ship.

    229
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Diarmuid Hayes
    Favourite Diarmuid Hayes
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:20 PM

    I would love to see what a pom cj jvdf back row could do in a full game

    39
    Gary
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gary
    Favourite Gary
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:29 PM

    Diarmuid, you’ll have to wait until Heaslip retires. Not a single coach on the planet would leave him out of an Irish 15.

    106
    See 3 more replies ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Diarmuid Hayes
    Favourite Diarmuid Hayes
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 10:36 PM

    I was one of heaslips doubters myself but I must say he has been one of Irelands best players this autumn I just wanted to see how those 3 could work together would have been an exciting prospect to see but the back row competition atm is frightening

    61
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Ontheway1
    Favourite Ontheway1
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:05 PM

    Well said diarmuid. I was the same. Had my doubts, but he has been excellent.

    32
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute rory2u
    Favourite rory2u
    Report
    Nov 27th 2016, 8:01 AM

    @Stephen Foster:@Stephen Foster: He spend his 20 mins on the wing, and didn’t bother to tackle. Clearly unfit..

    2
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Clement
    Favourite Clement
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:36 PM

    Take a bow Ringrose. Chuffed for Best shows true grit in Ireland to grind out that win. Great to see O’Mahony back to his best bruising men and getting a vital turnover. Well done Ireland great series!

    216
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Mark Dee
    Favourite Mark Dee
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:38 PM

    Rory Best is a gent. And a great captain. Tough second half…. Well done the boys in green.

    203
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Tomred
    Favourite Tomred
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:35 PM

    Well done to a valiant Irish team. Bring on the 6 Nations…

    165
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute pat seery
    Favourite pat seery
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:14 PM

    And we sure saw a lot of LIONS there tonight ????

    48
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Paul Fahey
    Favourite Paul Fahey
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:17 PM

    Pat – possibly, but there is a 6Nations to come yet and make no mistake it will be physically brutal.

    52
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Conor
    Favourite Conor
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:37 PM

    What a game by the whole 23 great series with plenty of new players blooded on to the six nations…

    134
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Ontheway1
    Favourite Ontheway1
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:30 PM

    Do you think there are any other players that haven’t played in this series that could come into the mix? Maybe Ronan O Mahony? Stuart olding?

    7
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Range Rover P38
    Favourite Range Rover P38
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:37 PM

    Jesus me nerves!!!

    131
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Pablo
    Favourite Pablo
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:42 PM

    @Range Rover P38: Bloody oath mate. Do wish we wouldn’t kick possession away – just adds to the stress.

    77
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Hugh Mannatee
    Favourite Hugh Mannatee
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:42 PM

    What a country we have! Proud to be Irish. Great win.

    129
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Bluepoolroad
    Favourite Bluepoolroad
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:14 PM

    Couldn’t agree more. Proud of Rory and all of ‘em!

    39
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Shane Lynch
    Favourite Shane Lynch
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:38 PM

    What a great win and heroic performance; a scrum half on the wing, a rookie out half full back, a midfield who hasn’t played together and all the injuries to senior players prior to the game. Great heart and performance.

    102
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Thomas Moroney
    Favourite Thomas Moroney
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:44 PM

    Brilliant win. Getting wins over the big three in one year is nothing to be sniffed at. The depth at backrow is unreal, even when we had to reshuffle we had a backrow that dominated Hooper, Pocock at the breakdown, and we finished with a backrow of POM, VDF and Stander. Ringrose a special player. Best a great leader. Furlong a monster. Mighty potential shown over the series. One thing though, should we have started Scannell and O’Halloran? Players pushing hard to recover from injuries weren’t able to last the full match, that stretched us a bit.

    75
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Thomas Moroney
    Favourite Thomas Moroney
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:54 PM

    @Thomas Moroney: And what happened to the SH dominance all of a sudden? Australia, SA, Argentina and even NZ losing in the November series. Glad to see that things are maybe being shaken up at international level.

    44
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Barry O 'Mahony
    Favourite Barry O 'Mahony
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:12 PM

    Your right there Thomas, I have never seen Pocock so dominated at the breakdown.

    35
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Ciaran Smith
    Favourite Ciaran Smith
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:44 PM

    Just Brilliant .
    The Mighty Green MEN made a dark November very BRIGHT .
    Thanks .

    65
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Seán O'Sullivan
    Favourite Seán O'Sullivan
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:41 PM

    3rd in the rankings. “How sweet this moment is”

    55
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute PaulJ
    Favourite PaulJ
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:57 PM

    Even if Australia get hammered next we we still won’t be third in the rankings, the gap is too big between us and the Aussies.

    14
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Cian O Donoghue
    Favourite Cian O Donoghue
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:13 PM

    Correct

    13
    See 1 more reply ▾
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Seán O'Sullivan
    Favourite Seán O'Sullivan
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:32 PM

    Ya I realise that now. Those at RTÉ 2fm told me differently

    13
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Dave O'Shaughnessy
    Favourite Dave O'Shaughnessy
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:42 PM

    That was an Incredible victory, arguably a better victory than the win against the All Blacks considering the 2nd half circumstances and the missing players from the start.

    55
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Barry O 'Mahony
    Favourite Barry O 'Mahony
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:57 PM

    An epic match! Battered by injuries and still found the wherewithal to come from behind to win. Aussie grand slam in tatters. My heart bleeds…. not.

    51
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Bluepoolroad
    Favourite Bluepoolroad
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:05 PM

    They’ll take it out on the Poms. Didn’t deserve to win tonight after our first half.

    32
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Ontheway1
    Favourite Ontheway1
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:31 PM

    Hopefully

    3
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute ⚡ Seánie ⚡
    Favourite ⚡ Seánie ⚡
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:36 PM

    Wohooo!! Guess we bet them with their own style

    50
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Bluepoolroad
    Favourite Bluepoolroad
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:02 PM

    Fantastic mix of young and less young. Can’t wait 6N. England and France at home. Big thanks to Joe, Andy and coaching staff.

    49
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Noel C Lynam
    Favourite Noel C Lynam
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:57 PM

    Love this team!!!! What a win. Injuries are a serious concern though

    47
    von
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute von
    Favourite von
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:49 PM

    Brilliant match the boys in Green are on fire. Congratulations to all who played hope the injuries received are not too serious especially Rob Kearney.
    What a Man Rory Best.

    47
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gavin Huban
    Favourite Gavin Huban
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:48 PM

    That was one of the best Irish performances I’ve seen….they knew there would be a backlash after the break, they soaked up the pressure of 2 scores, and when it was necessary, went out and finished the game with am Earl try in the corner. ….very proud. ….a world beating performance.

    42
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Barry Gormley
    Favourite Barry Gormley
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:02 PM

    Amazing as well considering Aussies rested so many lads last week to be fresh for this. None of our injuries bar Jordi murphy seem to serious at this stage as well.

    21
    Gary
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Gary
    Favourite Gary
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:49 PM

    If we didn’t have all those injuries we could have won by a cricket score.

    40
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute PScald
    Favourite PScald
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:58 PM

    Exactly!!!

    19
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Pete Slattery
    Favourite Pete Slattery
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:56 PM

    Well, if ever our depth was going to be questioned, it was going to be in a game against a better ranked team, an improvised back line, with two backs having seven caps between them. That was an incredible win. Our pack is just fantastic. So happy right now.

    40
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Dave Murray
    Favourite Dave Murray
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 7:54 PM

    What a win. Such heart and passion shown there with all the injuries and reshuffling around the backline. All 23 were superb there today, an excellent November series and lots of players blooded for the 6 Nations in February. Well done Rory and the boys.

    31
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute David Cooper
    Favourite David Cooper
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 8:25 PM

    What was done here with so many inexperienced kids is just brilliant – The squad standard is scary and will have no need to fear anyone. it’s potentially only a beginning – but what a start. I’m sure there is a crazy talented winger or two out there just waiting to be sprung on us and maybe a fullback or two ( thanks Rob for being a hero of mine for so long)

    22
    John
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute John
    Favourite John
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:48 PM

    The aussies really did butcher it. Twice they had easy run ins but messed it up thankfully. Joe should really have had a Centre on bench considering Payne wasn’t 100% and Kearney also.

    17
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Jimmy Murphy
    Favourite Jimmy Murphy
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:16 PM

    We’re the first team to beat the All Blacks, Oz and SA in a year since England in 2003. Joe Schmidt & the boys deserve great credit for that. I was fearful of England in the 6N but not anymore after this series. COYBIG, you’ve done us proud.

    12
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute John Carey
    Favourite John Carey
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:02 PM

    Brilliant game and great atmosphere at the Aviva , the pack were on fire today , Furlong , Stander , Van Der Flier and Jackson had world class performances today . Beating Springboks , The All Blacks and The Wallabies all in the space of a few months is incredible. Hopefully we get no injures and a few players recover and we’ll be in flying for the six nations

    11
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Robert James Behan
    Favourite Robert James Behan
    Report
    Nov 27th 2016, 12:53 AM

    I think its fair to say Ringrose makes the grade in an Ireland shirt and once again Furlong went on the rampage!

    11
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Johannes
    Favourite Johannes
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:30 PM

    Huge character shown by all 23 players. And a great victory in the face of such adversity. But if we know Joe he will have picked out a number of areas we can improve upon and win the 6N.
    Rory Best for the Lions captaincy??

    10
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Paul Ahern
    Favourite Paul Ahern
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 9:02 PM

    Great win, great year. Congratulations, am gonna go put some money on Ireland for the 6N before the odds drop thru the floor!

    8
    Install the app to use these features.
    Mute Ed Flahive
    Favourite Ed Flahive
    Report
    Nov 26th 2016, 11:27 PM

    Bring on the six nations. England and France at home. . GREAT CHANCE !

    7
Submit a report
Please help us understand how this comment violates our community guidelines.
Thank you for the feedback
Your feedback has been sent to our team for review.

Leave a comment

 
cancel reply