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"Aldo has been a fantastic champion but every champion must give way for the next wave." Cathal Noonan/INPHO

'Conor will stop Jose Aldo inside three rounds' - John Kavanagh writes exclusively for The42.ie

Ireland’s top MMA coach looks ahead to a big day in May.

I SUPPOSE THERE are worse ways to spend your birthday.

I was in Boston for mine last week, seated Octagon-side as three of my SBG fighters picked up their latest UFC wins. We’ve had plenty of memorable nights as a team, and this one ranks right up there with the very best of them.

It kind of reminded me of UFC Dublin last year. There are obvious parallels, especially in a place like Boston which almost feels like Ireland.

The guys made weight easier than any time before, there were no hiccups and nobody was carrying any knocks going into their fights. Everything was smooth. If we had lost all three fights, there could have been no excuses.

Not for the first time, Paddy Holohan started us off. We’ve started to call Paddy our berserker, which — in case you didn’t know — was a sort of wild viking warrior who was always on the front line.

Paddy was the first one in again and he set the tone for the night. It was a very one-sided bout. Fair play to his opponent Shane Howell for resisting and fighting off the submissions. But Paddy was still full of beans even in the last round, and that will give him confidence knowing that he can have plenty in the tank if a fight does go that far.

Cathal Pendred was next, and he also did well in his bout against Sean Spencer. Cathal got dropped and rattled in the first round, but he recovered brilliantly. I don’t know what someone is going to have to do to actually beat him.

Cathal is a work in progress, and he’d be the first guy to tell you that. He’s been doing martial arts for about half the time Conor McGregor has, yet he’s 3-0 in the UFC and has been unbeaten for a very long time.

Regarding the decision, I was surprised that two of the judges gave Cathal the first round, but I definitely had him winning the second and third.

People have been questioning the judges’ decision and I think a lot of it has stemmed from Joe Rogan’s commentary on the fight. When Joe starts to see one guy getting the upper hand in a fight, his mind seems to be made up and he can’t see it any other way. Sean started well so that seemed to settle it for Joe.

Looking back at the stats from the fight, Sean only landed three or four more significant strikes, whereas Cathal had four takedowns, as well as some submission attempts, and Sean had none. Of course I am slightly biased when it comes to my own fighters — Who isn’t? — but I do genuinely feel Cathal did enough. 

I believe Sean and Cathal have spoken on social media about a rematch, and that’s something I’m definitely open to. I would enjoy seeing that and I think Cathal could do a lot better in a second fight. There were a few things we had worked on that didn’t really happen on Sunday night, so to get a second chance and put this all to bed is something I’d welcome.

Our third and final bout at the TD Garden on Sunday was the main event between Conor McGregor and Dennis Siver. It was a lovely performance from Conor and showed once again that he’s still only getting better.

Conor demands a lot of himself and he said he felt he was operating at about 30 or 40 percent of what he’s capable of. He got clipped by Siver a few times when he didn’t need to, but overall it was hard to be too critical of a performance like that against such an experienced and dangerous opponent.

Conor McGregor with John Kavanagh John Kavanagh has some words of wisdom for Conor McGregor before the second round of Sunday's emphatic victory over Dennis Siver at UFC Boston. Emily Harney / INPHO Emily Harney / INPHO / INPHO

Our next assignment for Conor is pretty much as big as it gets: a fight against the reigning UFC featherweight champion Jose Aldo in Las Vegas.

The approach to this fight will be the same as always. We don’t want to make this bigger than what it is. Yes, there’s more money involved and a belt on the line, but it is also just another fight. It’s one guy against another, and we don’t want to lose that perspective because it’s got us this far.

We’ll do a couple of weeks at Mjölnir in Iceland because it’s a great place for an athlete to be. Around three or four weeks before the fight we’ll fly out to Vegas, and we’ll bring over a few sparring partners to work with during that period. But otherwise it’ll be business as usual.

The work won’t be any harder just because it’s five rounds instead of three. A fighter should always be working as hard as they can, irrespective of how many rounds they’re likely to fight.

Jose Aldo is known for his kicks, but against southpaws he doesn’t tend to try them as often. He did in the first exchange against ‘Korean Zombie’ and fractured his foot. Low-kicks for an orthodox fighter can be risky against a southpaw.

I think Jose will want it to turn into a grappling match early on. As soon as he gets hit he’ll start to shoot for takedowns. Basically, similar to when he’s fought the guys from Team Alpha Male… but with the roles reversed.

Jose Aldo has been a fantastic champion but every champion must give way for the next wave. He’s had so many hard wars and tough five-rounders which have almost certainly taken a lot out of him.

I think he’s slightly on the slide. When you look at his last few fights, three or four years ago he was destroying opponents of that calibre inside a round or two. Now they’re all bringing him the distance and having decent exchanges.

When Conor lands strikes it’s devastating, whereas Aldo seems to be happy out-pointing people now. Conor will stop him, maybe in the second or third round, but I do believe he’ll stop him.

Knowing it could be his last fight, Neil Seery is determined to enjoy UFC Stockholm

The UFC have paid Cathal Pendred’s opponent his win bonus as the pair agree to a rematch

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58 Comments
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    Mute Paddy Murray
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    Feb 25th 2012, 8:18 AM

    Can’t see Ireland losing but it won’t be pretty to watch.

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    Mute Idont Care
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    Feb 25th 2012, 9:18 AM

    Irish boys to win but a hard game it should be.

    Also well done to the Irish women’s team for beating Italy 40 points to 10 last night.

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    Mute Begrudgy
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    Feb 25th 2012, 9:50 AM

    Who……?

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    Mute jrbmc
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    Feb 25th 2012, 10:41 AM

    Why weren’t we told about this? Did they swap jerseys at the end?

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    Mute Andrew Storan
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    Feb 25th 2012, 8:32 AM

    Comprehensive victory.. 6 tries, 3 for earles !

    17
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    Mute Begrudgy
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    Feb 25th 2012, 8:21 AM

    Ireland to slug it out for a 10 to 12 point win.

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    Mute mattoid
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    Feb 25th 2012, 9:15 AM

    Italy are far from the whipping boys they once were in this tournament, and any side that writes them off or takes their eye off the ball could pay a high price. Also, Ireland and England are the only two scalps they have yet to take in the six nations, so you can bet they’ll be up for this one.

    That said, Ireland should have the firepower to do it as long as they stay focussed and keep complacency out of their mindset.

    Ireland by nine points…..

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    Mute Spillinksuz
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    Feb 25th 2012, 8:25 AM

    Our boys in green are the only greens doing it right way!!
    Hard honest graft reaps rewards!
    Best of luck today boys

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    Mute Shane Keaveney
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    Feb 25th 2012, 8:41 AM

    Plus 15 points

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    Mute David Mc Elroy
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    Feb 25th 2012, 10:50 AM

    Kick off is 1.30pm. We don’t want anyone missing it!

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    Mute C
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    Feb 25th 2012, 10:15 AM

    19-15 to Ireland…

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    Mute South Ayrshire
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    Feb 25th 2012, 12:30 PM

    Close defensive first half. Ireland to dominate in the second and run in a couple of tries. #6nations

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    Mute Des Carroll
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    Feb 25th 2012, 11:34 AM

    12 to 1 half time draw. could be worth a few yoyos. also paul o c man of the match 9 to 1.

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    Mute Tom McDermott
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    Feb 25th 2012, 2:14 PM

    Nearly des , nearly,

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    Mute mattoid
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    Feb 25th 2012, 2:16 PM

    I bet you were almost planning how you’d spend the half time money – bad luck… :-/

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    Mute mattoid
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    Feb 25th 2012, 3:14 PM

    How the hell did Sexton get motm??
    Place kicking was good but kicking from the hand was brutal, and he was absolutely anonymous with ball in hand. Rob Kearney for my money, with PoC a close second….

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    Mute Michael Russell
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    Feb 25th 2012, 1:54 PM

    Thanks a lot guys… “kick off 2pm”. Just missed the first half hour

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    Mute Richard Brownebacher
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    Feb 25th 2012, 1:53 PM

    19-13 good guys.

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    Mute John Meenan
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    Feb 25th 2012, 12:02 PM

    will be tight italy on the up ireland by 3 pts

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