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Analysis: Schmidt keeps big ideas under wraps ahead of World Cup

Ireland showed some nice shape in attack against Scotland on Saturday.

JOE SCHMIDT AND Ireland have been keeping a few secrets tucked up their sleeves as the World Cup draws even closer.

Itโ€™s hardly surprising; showing your hand at this early stage would be lunacy.

Joe Schmidt Schmidt and every other coach are holding their teams back at this stage. Billy Stickland / INPHO Billy Stickland / INPHO / INPHO

Every team in the competition is holding plays backs, limiting their attacking game plan to varying degrees and generally attempting to ensure that opposition sides donโ€™t have them figured out before a ball is even kicked or passed next month.

Ireland beat Wales with a relatively simple game plan two weekends ago, carrying directly through their centres, using forwards to batter either side of the rucks and winning the lineout with minimum intricacy. Much of that was repeated against Scotland on Saturday.

Sounds similar to the formula that has brought back-to-back Six Nations titles, right? In truth, Ireland havenโ€™t moved too far from what they do best tactically, but itโ€™s a certainty that Schmidt is limiting what they show now.

The power plays Ireland have run in the past two seasons, both those that were successful and some that werenโ€™t, have shown the genius of this Ireland coaching team in terms of building attack.

We havenโ€™t seen anything of their ilk in the two opening games of the season.

Building blocks

The standout attacking moments from Ireland in Dublin last weekend were those two Ian Madigan inside passes โ€“ something Schmidt said Ireland had spoken about at half time โ€“ and the out-halfโ€™s superb cross-field kick.

Luke Fitzgerald gets past Sam Hidalgo-Clyne Luke Fitzgerald got on the end of Madigan's kick to score. James Crombie / INPHO James Crombie / INPHO / INPHO

France, Italy, Romania and Canada will have taken note, but what else might they have picked out of Irelandโ€™s attacking performance? As mentioned above, Ireland largely kept things as basic as possible to allow rusty players to settle in.

That said, there were a few brief glimpses of shape that were of interest.

Irelandโ€™s tactics in and around the opposition 22 are well known at this stage. They most often bludgeon their way to the line, as we saw over the 11 phases that led to Chris Henryโ€™s opening try.

One-out runners with strong support, players leeching, aggressive clear-outs and rapid ruck speed force the defensive team into an uncomfortable position. Itโ€™s a successful method and one that a huge number of teams around the world use.

League

However, against the best defences โ€“ Wales in this yearโ€™s Six Nations, for example โ€“ it doesnโ€™t always work. That makes the shape in the clip above all the more interesting, as Ireland use a linking forward to play out the back door in rugby league style.

Sean Oโ€™Brien poses the initial carrying threat, Sean Cronin runs a decoy to his left and draws in Dave Denton, just as Oโ€™Brien releases the pass to Madigan.

Suddenly thereโ€™s space for Simon Zebo and Luke Fitzgerald, but Scotlandโ€™s defensive system works superbly as fullback Ruaridh Jackson advances up into the line and gets a good low tackle in on Fitzgerald to allow Peter Horne to get over the ball.

That draws a penalty as Zebo desperately attempts to rescue the possession, Ireland not having the numbers in position to resource the ruck. Like all other aspects of their play, itโ€™s rusty and a little stilted from Ireland but the actual shape is interesting.

Off 10

Thereโ€™s that strained feeling to the example above, as Ireland attempt to set up to run the same shape but this time outside Madigan.

We can see Tommy Bowe running a diagonal line out the back of Cronin this time and the hooker does indeed look back to make the link, but Mike Ross outside him is blocking the opening.

Ideally what Ireland are looking for here is for that whole pod of forwards outside Madigan (Devin Toner, Cronin and Ross) to start slightly wider, with Ross in particular getting up flatter and running an โ€˜undersโ€™ line outside the linking Cronin.

Ross

Had Ross been able to get even a metre wider for his starting position (somewhere around the red circle) and run the straightening decoy line highlighted here, thereโ€™s every chance he would have attracted Greig Tonks (marked 10) into checking on him.

That in turn would have allowed Cronin the chance to actually hit Bowe coming onto the ball at speed and heading for a favourable three-on-three on the outside edge.

Minutes after the above example, Ireland used the same shape going from left to right further out the pitch and with more success.

Off 10 2

Scotland are in a more compromised position here, particularly as they have a far greater concern for the backfield in covering potential kicks from Ireland, but itโ€™s slicker from Schmidtโ€™s men too.

Again, they play off Madigan (red circle below), with a bank of three forwards in Toner, Chris Henry and Dan Tuohy (highlighted in yellow). Henry is the passing link in the middle of that pod, while Jared Payne (blue) is the back door option for Henry.

Bowe (purple) is holding width on the wide right, as Sean Oโ€™Brien looks to provide an extra body in the attacking line just inside Bowe.

Shape

The pod of forwards is in a much better position this time, wide and running straight up the pitch rather than arcing around. Tuohy is flat outside Henry, although he could show a little more animation here and possibly tie Richie Vernon down.

The Scotland 13 is able to drift past Tuohy comfortably, but has to address Payne and the space is there for Ireland outside. Itโ€™s not as ruthless as youโ€™d like to see come World Cup time out on the right, but the shape that allows the ball to get there is better.

Zebo

Above, Ireland have Simon Zebo at first receiver with Madigan just back on his feet after being tackled. Itโ€™s an interesting element that Zebo adds to the mix for Ireland, whether heโ€™s on the wing or at fullback.

Schmidt seems to back the Munster man to be something of a second playmaker, as we saw for the Felix Jones try in Wales or at stages of last seasonโ€™s Six Nations.

Here, the shape is familiar to us by now. Oโ€™Brien acts as the linking forward in between Toner and Tuohy, with Fitzgerald out the back door. This one will go down as a missed chance on the outside left edge.

Fitzgerald attempts to dance his way through the defence in front of him, but out on the left are Jack Conan (6 below), Nathan White (18), Jared Payne (13) and Henry (7, out of shot).

Numbers

Had Fitzgerald held just a little more depth in this instance and passed to the left, Ireland were looking at a four-on-three or even a five-on-three if Fitzgerald could have burst outside Gordon Reid.

The positioning of Dave Kilcoyne doesnโ€™t help Fitzgerald however, and that option to the outside is somewhat closed off to the Ireland wing. With more match fitness and sharpness, weโ€™d back Ireland to communicate and scan better if theyโ€™re to use this shape in the coming weeks and months.

This use of forwards not only as direct carriers has perhaps been the next obvious development Irelandโ€™s approach to attack was going to make, as theyโ€™ve repeatedly added small things to Schmidtโ€™s basic building blocks.

We would stress that Ireland have used these shapes and many others like it before under Schmidt and that a huge number of teams, both professional and amateur, do the same. Itโ€™s ensuring that Ireland use them more effectively than anyone else that would be the Schmidt hallmark.

Most teams ideally donโ€™t want their forwards and backs to be completely separate entities in general movement, but instead look to have both sets of players working together intelligently.

SOB

Above is an utterly basic screen play from Ireland, but itโ€™s the use of Oโ€™Brien away from set-piece or a one-out carry that interests.

The powerful back row doesnโ€™t take any defenders out of the game as such here, but he does attract Denton just enough to ensure the Scotland number eight canโ€™t drift out to Gordon Dโ€™Arcy after Payne has drawn in Horne.

Again, the execution on the outside from Ireland is a little sloppy โ€“ Dโ€™Arcy might have held the ball a little longer โ€“ and Scotlandโ€™s system copes as scrum-half Pyrgos covers across onto Bowe, but the basic shape in the midfield allows them to make good gains.

Holding back

The prospect of seeing Ireland finally unleash some of the plays theyโ€™ve been holding back for the World Cup is a hugely exciting one, although their opposition are sure to have tricks of their own to counter with.

In terms of set-piece strikes and those power plays of old, weโ€™ve not seen too many hints from Ireland. There was, however, one incident against Scotland that made us sit up and take notice.

Strike

As with some of the examples weโ€™ve looked at above, the execution from Ireland is not what theyโ€™d have hoped for here, but the idea behind the play is fascinating.

Itโ€™s a five-man lineout from Ireland and Scotland start with Hugh Blake as their tailgunner, as Pyrgos defends the five-metre channel in the โ€˜hookerโ€™ position. As soon as the ball is in Madiganโ€™s hands, the scrum-half understandably sets off across the pitch.

Pyrgos

Ireland look to play back to that space by switching off Madigan through Dโ€™Arcy. Bowe is the final target, but there is the possibility that Dโ€™Arcy actually could have taken the ball forward a little more himself again before hitting his right wing.

Instead, Bowe gets the ball some distance away from the departing Scotland pack and they have time to react and cover him. Ahead of the ball Tuohy gets pinged for some blatant blocking on Jim Hamilton.

Ireland are usually clinical with their blocking and interference off the ball, but this whole play speaks volumes of where they are at the moment. Understandably for a side featuring 14 players making their first start of the season, it was at times a scrappy and stilted performance.

Theyโ€™ll be fitter, sharper, more accustomed to each other and generally better against Wales and England, before launching themselves into the World Cup.

We may not see signs of Schmidtโ€™s true hand until the Italy and France pool games and the tests that will hopefully come thereafter, but we can be certain that Irelandโ€™s execution will be far more clinical.

โ€˜Iโ€™ve been working really hard with Joeโ€™ โ€“ Madigan delivers against Scots

Open thread: Who would you pick in Irelandโ€™s 31-man World Cup squad?

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16 Comments
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    Mute Paul McNevin
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:30 PM

    Not too many secrets if Murray keeps writing like this!

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    Mute Kieran Flub Fanning
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:29 PM

    Wonโ€™t be long till Murray is poached for a big analysis gig somewhere always a pleasure getting the kettle on to read your analysis Murray, much appreciated

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    Mute james
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:35 PM

    Murray youโ€™ll make TV3โ€ฒs โ€œmy Big fat gypsy World Cup โ€ coverage watchable.

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    Mute Riocard ร“ Tiarnaigh
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:36 PM

    Hear! Hear!

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    Mute Supernova
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:08 PM

    I think the way Ireland has gone about these warm up games have been excellent, as well as training. I certainly feel out of the northern hemisphere teams were the best prepared, I think we can honestly go into this world Cup hugely optimistic :)

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    Mute james
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:16 PM

    Shhhh say nothing.

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    Mute Chris Mcdonnell
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    Aug 17th 2015, 3:01 PM

    Murrary in the last play from the lineout where we switched back to the blindside.
    You say that Darcy passed early and the defence reacted to bowe.
    It kinda looks to me that bowe was meant to draw the defender and pass to Cronin who would have been free up the touch line but tommy took it on himself.

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    Mute Eรณin McAnaspie
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    Aug 17th 2015, 3:46 PM

    After the Scotland game on Saturday I felt, although we didnโ€™t perform to our best, we still showed a natural killer instinct with our seconds coming from behind three times without hesitation to win. It seems that killer instinct is now inbuilt into the psyche of Ireland.

    However, I decided to watch numerous Southern Hemisphere games and was in disbelief at the level of intelligent play going on. New Zealand literally tear opponents apart by setting their game plan around your weakest link. Australia like to mix things up and have you guessing before every game. SA are England 2003, brute force but intelligent. Argentina are delightful to watch, very like France but not as free-for-all but made me fear them, their no push overs.

    Ireland can take on any of these teams with the standards they now have and depth in their squad butโ€ฆ It seems that the Southern Hemisphere are more than prepared to handle that heat. Their games are so fast paced itโ€™s incredible. Ireland bring a whole new level of sophistication to the table though, even when their behind thereโ€™s no panic.

    I canโ€™t fโ‚ฌโ‚ฌking wait for this World Cup!!!!

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    Mute Andrew Hurley
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    Aug 17th 2015, 2:20 PM

    Great analysis, Murray.

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    Mute Evan Kavanagh
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    Aug 17th 2015, 3:25 PM

    Itโ€™s great to see another insightful analysis from you Murray as always. Itโ€™s definitely exciting to see Ireland adding a little more sophistication to their forward play off the rucks too.

    As youโ€™ve noted, I think the Welsh game last year looks to have been a turning point for the players. Whilst before there was only one option for Irelandโ€™s forwards-to carry-they now can carry, play a screen pass, or play an inside ball and so on. Even making opposition defenses think for a second means the structure is doing its job. Ireland certainly look in better shape going into this World Cup than they have previous years.

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    Mute Philip
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    Aug 17th 2015, 5:30 PM

    Muarray, any chance ud put ur head on the line n give us your World Cup 31? Drawing specfic to the back 3,

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    Mute von
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    Aug 17th 2015, 6:48 PM

    Joe keep up the good work, these past few years Rugby has been my life line, you and the boys in Green make me proud to be Irish, the Government and Politics have just been a pain to the Irish people.
    Sport is all thats left, so come you boys in Green go for it. And Joe i bow down to you the best and no other.

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    Mute Richard
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    Aug 18th 2015, 1:07 AM

    I just remember that when Schmidt took over at Leinster, it took a few months for the team to really start playing like they did for the remainder of his time there. For the first time, he has the Irish squad to himself for 3, and what could be 4, months.

    Canโ€™t wait to see how this team plays come the business part of the tournament in October.

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    Mute Christiaan Theron
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    Aug 18th 2015, 1:43 AM

    I wonder if Joe meant those pods of forwards to drift in because the Scottish defence appeared to have a dog leg in their defence creating holes between the wingers and the defensive line. There always seems to be an urgency to get the ball out to the wings where inevitably they run out of track. Would really like to see Ireland have a Full back or centre or a forward that can put in a grubber instead of the penultimate pass. At that point the defensive has committed themselves to the line leaving the space in behind. Comparable to the cross-field kick its indefensible.

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    Mute Mr. Common Sense
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    Aug 18th 2015, 2:29 AM

    In that last playโ€ฆ.Touhyโ€™s involvement with Hamiltion is counter productive and not just because of the concession of the penalty. It keeps Hamilton in the space that Ireland are looking to attack. Was he even aware of the plan?

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    Mute Shane O Leary
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    Aug 17th 2015, 10:03 PM

    The last play mentioned here I found very interesting.

    Itโ€™s a similar โ€˜against the grainโ€™ premise to the play that Leinster used to break Clermont in Bordeaux and Ireland used in Twickers two years ago (with Heaslip and RK iirc).

    Relies a lot on Schmidtโ€™s famed love of deception. Reckon we might see that again against weaker sides in the WC.

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