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Ireland target top two in what may be most competitive Six Nations yet

Joe Schmidt is hopeful his key players can stay injury-free in the 2017 championship.

WHILE ITโ€™S ENGLAND who bring a winning streak of 14 games into the Six Nations, Joe Schmidtโ€™s Ireland seemed to be talk of the town at the 2017 tournament launch in London yesterday.

Beating the All Blacks counts for an awful lot in this part of the world.

Joe Schmidt and Rory Best Joe Schmidt and Rory Best at yesterday's Six Nations launch. Billy Stickland / INPHO Billy Stickland / INPHO / INPHO

Eddie Jones said Ireland have โ€œset world rugby upside downโ€ with their achievements in November, while Scotland boss Vern Cotter said โ€œJoe is leading the way with Irelandโ€ in terms of the rise of Northern Hemisphere rugby.

Cotter, whose side host Ireland in Murrayfield on the first weekend of the championship, went on to state his belief that 2017 could see his old mate from Clermont guide Ireland to their third title in four years.

โ€œIโ€™m sure VC said that,โ€ said Schmidt with a laugh when informed. โ€œA little more expectation on my shoulders and a little off his shoulders maybe. He has got bigger shoulders than I have!โ€

Schmidt has always been keen to manage expectations in Ireland and he has largely set realistic Six Nations targets for his team.

In 2014, the head coach spoke of a top-two finish and Ireland won the Six Nations. The same occurred in 2015. Last year, Schmidt said a top-three finish would be acceptable and Ireland duly came in third.

So what of 2017?

โ€œThe last three years I kind of had to put the pin in the wall and make a marker and I think I said in the first two years that a top-two finish would be something I would be really happy with.

โ€œLast year, just on the back of losing so much experience and so much ability through injury, it was a bit of a rebuilding time for us. I think we built not too badly.

โ€œI think it is going to be more competitive than ever [this year], but again it would be great if we could get a top-two finish.โ€

Guilhem Guirado, Rory Best, Dylan Hartley, Sergio Parisse, Alun Wyn Jones and Greig Laidlaw The Six Nations captains at yesterday's launch. Billy Stickland / INPHO Billy Stickland / INPHO / INPHO

Schmidt follows up by stressing the quality of the opposition in this yearโ€™s competition. He mentions the โ€œincredibly toughโ€ England, speaks of Guy Novรจsโ€™ conviction that France are rising, and says Wales are a โ€œsleeping giantโ€.

Scotland now have crucial strength in depth, according to Schmidt, while he points to Italyโ€™s win over South Africa in November as proof of their growth under Irishman Conor Oโ€™Shea.

Ireland are available at 9/4 to win the Six Nations with many bookmakers, England remaining the favourites, but Schmidt points out that the shortening of his teamโ€™s odds this season doesnโ€™t necessarily mean much.

โ€œThe bookies had us 13/1 against the All Blacks, so I am not saying they get it wrong all the time, but thatโ€™s a long way wrong,โ€ said Schmidt.

โ€œI am sure our odds would have shortened as compared to last year because I think there has been some visible growth in the team and we have tried to expand the depth.

โ€œYou know, nothing protects you from injuries to key players. That could still happen and derail you a bit, but hopefully we will be as well prepared as we can be.โ€

With key players in mind, the latest issue with Johnny Sextonโ€™s fitness must have been particularly unwelcome for Schmidt.

The Leinster out-half limped off in the first half of Leinsterโ€™s draw in Castres last weekend and again approaches a Test window with doubts surrounding him.

Back in November it was a hamstring problem, and Sexton ended the series with an injury in his other hamstring issue. Last summer, he missed the tour to South Africa due to the need for shoulder surgery. Now, itโ€™s said to be a tight calf.

Johnny Sexton Sexton is on the way back from a calf issue. James Crombie / INPHO James Crombie / INPHO / INPHO

Schmidt stated his confidence that Sexton will be ready for Murrayfield, and said the out-half may duck into the Santry Sports Clinic for a top-up of his rehab in between Ireland training this week.

Sexton had only played twice after recovering from his hamstring injury, before the calf issue struck, meaning he does not have a huge amount of rugby under his belt ahead of the Six Nations.

โ€œHe tends to be a player who plays quite well fresh,โ€ said Schmidt in that regard. โ€œThere are some players that need to get a real rhythm but Iโ€™ve been working with Johnny for almost seven years and in that time Iโ€™ve found him really quick to be match-ready.โ€

While the hope is that Sexton is fit to play next week, Schmidt did point out that Ireland have a capable replacement in the event that the Leinster man is not.

โ€œAt the same time, Paddy Jackson has become a key player for us,โ€ said Schmidt. โ€œHe has played a lot more Test rugby than Johnny at number 10 in the last seven Test matches, so with Paddy there he slots in.

โ€œPaddy is very calm, he does his homework, heโ€™s always well prepared, so we feel that the bases are reasonably well recovered. If Johnny comes in and trains next week itโ€™s almost an advantage for Paddy that he gets in the saddle this week and can run the show.โ€

Jacksonโ€™s increased experience is in part down to the injury problems Sexton has suffered in recent seasons, but Schmidt also believes that players like the Ulsterman represent the regeneration of this Ireland squad.

The 2016 Six Nations was seen as a transitional one for Ireland in many quarters, and while Schmidt doesnโ€™t agree with that tag โ€“ โ€œI think you are always in transitionโ€ โ€“ he does stress agree this squad has undergone some change in the 18 months or so.

โ€œWhen you donโ€™t have your talisman Paul Oโ€™Connell, when Peter Oโ€™Mahonyโ€™s out, when you donโ€™t have Mike Ross โ€“ as important as he was to us thenโ€ฆ

Joe Schmidt Schmidt is looking for a third Six Nations title in four years. Colm O'Neill / INPHO Colm O'Neill / INPHO / INPHO

โ€œPeople have said, โ€˜Ah, Tadhg Furlong, heโ€™s developed overnight into this great player.โ€™

โ€œTadhg Furlong was at the World Cup with us. Tadhg has been learning his craft right through that. He was in South Africa in the second Test and had a fantastic day in the scrum.

โ€œThe next Test he came off the bench and was under massive pressure. You donโ€™t suddenly learn and then tick a box and say, โ€˜Thatโ€™s done foreverโ€™. Itโ€™s like any skill; if you leave it alone for a little while, youโ€™ve got to pick it up and get it back into the rhythm again.

โ€œFor us, with our transition, thereโ€™s a number of players โ€“ half of this squad of 40 players [for the 2017 Six Nations] โ€“ have got less than 10 caps.

โ€œSo, we still donโ€™t have a massive amount of experience but I think weโ€™re growing and I suppose weโ€™ll measure the growth a little bit at the end of the Six Nations and beyond that because we know that youโ€™ve got to keep going in a really positive direction.

โ€œBecause everyoneโ€™s trying to build a stronger, deeper, more competitive group.โ€

โ€“ An earlier version of this piece incorrectly referred to Scotland coach Joe Cotter; the Scotland coach is Vern Cotter.

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